No Fear December 12th Picks

As always I agree with Odin's picks but I'm here to post my no fear picks for this Sunday!

I'm going to take the Browns to cover their spread today. The spread is at zero, this is weird because the Bills started as "favorties". I'm taking the Browns for a small bet because the Bills are the favorites after two consecutive losses, teams doing this cover at a low rate. The Bills are 27th against the run so I'm expecting Hillis to have a big game. As long as Delhomme doesn't cough the ball up as he's prone to do we should be fine putting $50 on this one. Browns +0

I like the panthers for a small bet because Atlanta doesn't blow teams out. Although the Panthers average giving up 253 yards and suck against the run Ryan isn't going to be focused for this game. I'm comfortable laying $20 on the Panthers to cover +7.5

I like the Raiders for another small $30 dollar wager. They played great against the Chargers last weekend and I expect the same when they face the Jaguars, a team not really made for blowing people out of the water. Also the Raiders are underdogs for their second consecutive road tilt, when teams are in this position they tend to cover at a high rate. Jaguars are 3-10 ATS as home favorites also. Raiders +4

I am not touching the Packers Lions game because my Green and Gold has let me down enough times in the past in games where the decision should be clear. If you are interested take the Lions for +6.5 They have been keeping almost all their games close this year and they always keep it close with the Pack Attack.

Bengals 10-5 ATS as dogs and 16-5 ATS against the Steelers if the lost to them earlier in the year. Good enough stats for me. Bengals +8.5 for $20

Saints are not going to be ready for the Rams. They are going to come out thinking this will be an easy win. This game is going to be practice for when they have to battle the Ravens and Falcons after this. Not to mention the fact that the rams are good this year. History proves itself here as teams that are home favorites after 5 consecutive wins  are 26-44 ATS. Brees will probably wake up at about noon today, think about showering, show up to warmups in his pajamas. Rams +9 $100

Lets talk Flipper. The Dolphins are facing a jets team who lost by more than 17 points on monday night football. Uh-Oh we know what that means, and if you don't ill tell you. Teams in this dynamic are 16-34 ATS. Dolphins are 9-1 ATS on the road, their coach is 16-6 ATS on the road. The Dolphins are a good pick here and I'm going to do another $100 on it.

I'm also going to take the Cardinals for a $50 play. They are hosting the Broncos, a team with more drama attached to it than the Bad Girls Club. I tried to find stats to back my pick up but these teams are so shitty that there actually is no facts. I just feel that the Broncos season is over, they know this and so is the Cardinals but I feel they have a good chance of covering as home underdogs. $50 Cardinals +4

I Also like the Chargers -9 for $50. Lets see what this backup has.

NEW!!! I'm also dropping $150 on the Patriots to cover their -3 spread over the Bears. The Patriots are the best team in the NFL at the moment and the bears aren't. There are two things that win football games: Head Coaches and Quarterbacks. Even if Tom Brady has an average game he will be the best QB on the field. Cutler will not be. $150 Pats -3 No Fear, Everyone hates the Bears.

There ya go folks! And as always here are my straight up picks: (and they should be much better than last weeks) Colts, Brons, Packers, Vikings, Steelers, Buccaneers, Falcons, Jaguars, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Jets, Cardinals, Chargers, Eagles, Ravens